Pyatkova

In this paper the author proposes a technology of organization and execution of computational experiments in the field of energy security with the purpose of analyzing complex scenarios of emergency situations. This technology is based on application of intellectual research support within integrated IT-environment and integration with Bayesian networks tool for modeling energy security threats. An example of a naturally-emerging threat of cold snap in the Central interconnected power system was also described. The presented technology gives a new opportunity in describing energy security threats; this is obtained due to the joint use of intellectual technologies for generation of computation scenarios (at qualitative level) and further transition to a traditional quantitative research.